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Send to email | Clearwire: 1.3 Million WiMax Subscribers Next Year, 31 Million In 2017 (CLWR, S) in SCLWRTWCCMCSAINTCGOOG | By Silicon el 12-Jun-2008 |
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Wireless Internet provider Clearwire has a tough task down the road: Convincing you that you need yet another telco in your life.
But that's still a year or two out. Today, Clearwire (CLWR) CEO Benjamin Wolff was performing for a different audience, paying a visit to Wall Street to convince investors that his company's merger with Sprint Nextel's (S) Xohm WiMax unit, and a multi-billion-dollar cash infusion from the cable industry, Google (GOOG), and Intel (INTC), will help them build a big, successful business.
How big? Clearwire thinks it can sign up 1.3 million subscribers to its WiMax-powered mobile Internet/phone service by the end of next year, 8.5 million by the end of 2011, and 30.8 million by the end of 2017, when thinks it will have an addressable market of up to 220 million people. (For perspective, there are about 250 million wireless subscribers in the U.S. right now.) Clearwire is counting on its wholesale partners -- Sprint, Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), etc. -- to sell about half those subscriptions. And the company thinks it will be able to get you to spend an average $49 per month for their service next year, and $64 a month by 2014.
That translates to revenues around $13 billion in 2015, with a 39% EBITDA margin and $2.4 billion in free cash flow; and $17.5 billion in sales in 2017, with a 44% EBITDA margin and $3.8 billion in free cash flow.
Can it happen? Sure, anything's possible. But first Clearwire needs to build its network, get companies to make gizmos for it -- like laptop cards, handheld PCs, mobile phones, etc. -- and sign up early adopters. And then, in a few years, it'll have to hold its own in a format war against AT&T and Verizon Wireless. The two biggest U.S. mobile carriers have both backed a competing wireless broadband technology called LTE.
Those investors? Not sold. CLWR is down 2.2% today to $13.15, 63% off its 52-week high, reached last July.
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See Also: Alltel Snubs Clearwire: Can Sprint Make WiMax Work By Itself? Is Sprint-Clearwire Doomed From The Start? Sprint, Clearwire Announce $14.5 Billion WiMax Deal, Terms

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| Sprint and Clearwire finalize merger, spread of WiMax to follow soon | After receiving approval from the FCC and shareholders, the Sprint and Clearwire merger has been finalized. Sprint has gone and contributed all its Xohm WiMax assets to Clearwire, and in addition, Clearwire has received $3.2 billion worth of investments from companies such as Comcast and Google. The merger will allow Sprint to shift its focus [...] [..] Read complete article |  | Published 29-Nov-2008 by Marc Flores in GeneralNewsSprintWiMaxClearWireFCCSprint Clearwire mergerXOHM Read 0 times. More hits in  |
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| Comcast, Time Warner Cable To Fund Sprint-Clearwire WiMax Venture? | | Comcast and Time Warner Cable, the two biggest U.S. cable companies, are in talks to fund a wireless joint venture that would be run by Sprint Nextel and Clearwire, the Wall Street Journal reports ($).
According to the plan, Comcast (CMCSA) would kick in $1 billion, Time Warner Cable (TWC) would contribute $500 million, and Bright House, Google (GOOG), and Intel (INTC) could also fund th [..] Read complete article |  | Published 25-Mar-2008 by Silicon in SVZCLWRTWCTCMCSAINTCGOOG Read 15 times. More hits in  |
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| Sprint, Clearwire Join Cable, Tech Companies For WiMax JV | | Sprint finally gets its WiMax deal: As soon as tomorrow, it's expected to announce a $12 billion joint venture with Clearwire (CLWR) to sell wireless Internet and phone service, the WSJ reports.
A long list of backers includes Comcast (CMCSA), which will contribute $1.05 billion; Intel (INTC), which will kick in $1 billion; and Google (GOOG), which will contribute $500 milion. The JV, ma [..] Read complete article |  | Published 06-May-2008 by Silicon in SVZCLWRTWCTDTCMCSAGOOGINTCAAPL Read 5 times. More hits in  |
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